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Bologna vs Heidenheim

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Castro S.
29' Event
Pieringer M.
46'
Sub
Skorupski L. In: Pessina M.
Out: Skorupski L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bologna and Heidenheim finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bologna
30%
Draws
58%
Heidenheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bologna come out ahead of Heidenheim on wins alone.
  • Model gives Heidenheim a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Heidenheim
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.17 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Bologna vs Heidenheim
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieringer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 26 / 100
Heidenheim 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Heidenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heidenheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidenheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Bologna's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bologna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Heidenheim
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
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Heidenheim

(Away)
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
13 Sept
Heidenheim
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1
Heidenheim
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
23 Aug
Jeddeloh
5 : 2
Heidenheim
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