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Bologna vs Heidenheim

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Castro S.
29' Event
Pieringer M.
46'
Sub
Skorupski L. In: Pessina M.
Out: Skorupski L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bologna and Heidenheim finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bologna
6%
Draws
90%
Heidenheim
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Heidenheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bologna come out ahead of Heidenheim on wins alone.
  • Model gives Heidenheim a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%
Heidenheim Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Heidenheim
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Bologna vs Heidenheim
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Heidenheim Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieringer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 10 / 100
Heidenheim 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Heidenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidenheim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Bologna's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bologna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Heidenheim
1 Goals Scored 3.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0
Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4
Arminia Bielefeld
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1
Bologna
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Heidenheim

(Away)
25 Jul
Heidenheim
1 : 3
Hamburger
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1
Heidenheim
15 Jul
Nordlingen
0 : 9
Heidenheim
11 Jul
TSV Langenau
0 : 12
Heidenheim
10 Jul
Heidenheim
0 : 1
Lugano
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