Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Bologna

Wed, Feb 11, 2026

1 - 2

08:00 PM

Lazio

Our Tip

Match Events

Gila M.

30'

Castro S.

Assist: Moro N.

45'

Sub

Pedro P. In: Noslin T.

Out: Pedro P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Coppa Italia 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Bologna

30%

Draws

61%

Lazio

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Bologna.
61% — that's where the model lands on Lazio taking it.
Lazio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Lazio, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Bologna Clean Sheet 10%

Lazio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bologna	Lazio
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	17
Draws	6	6
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	1.16	1.7
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio

0:1

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio

0:2

Feb 11, 2026 Coppa Italia

Bologna vs Lazio

1:2

Dec 7, 2025 Serie A

Lazio vs Bologna

1:1

Mar 16, 2025 Serie A

Bologna vs Lazio

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Noslin T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.87

Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 18 / 100

Lazio 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bologna Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Lazio let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bologna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Lazio

1.38 Goals Scored 2.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)

19 Sept

Bologna

1 : 1

Torino

13 Sept

Napoli

1 : 0

Bologna

06 Sept

Bologna

2 : 2

Sassuolo

31 Aug

Atalanta

1 : 0

Bologna

24 Aug

Bologna

0 : 1

Lazio

Page 1 of 7

Lazio

(Away)

19 Sept

Venezia

0 : 2

Lazio

12 Sept

Lazio

2 : 2

AC Milan

07 Sept

Udinese

1 : 2

Lazio

30 Aug

Lazio

1 : 0

Genoa

24 Aug

Bologna

0 : 1

Lazio

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma -

TBD -

Pescara 1

Rimini 0

Spezia -

TBD -

Sampdoria -

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan -

TBD -

Bari -

Lecce -

TBD -

Juve Stabia -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli -

TBD -

Reggiana -

Genoa -

TBD -

Padova 0

Vicenza 2

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese -

TBD -

Carrarese -

Cremonese -

TBD -

Palermo -

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Avellino 0

Verona -

TBD -

Venezia -

TBD -

Mantova -

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino -

TBD -

Modena -

Pisa -

TBD -

Cesena -

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza -

TBD -

Frosinone -

Cagliari -

TBD -

Entella 4

Ternana 0

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como -

TBD -

Sudtirol -

Sassuolo -

TBD -

Catanzaro -

1/32-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 2

Pescara 0

Spezia 2

Sampdoria 1

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 2

Bari 0

Lecce 2

Juve Stabia 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 2

Reggiana 1

Genoa 3

Vicenza 0

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Carrarese 0

Cremonese 0

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Audace Cerignola 1

Verona 2

Venezia 4

Mantova 0

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Modena 0

Pisa 1

Cesena 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Monza 0

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 2

Entella 1

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sudtirol 1

Sassuolo 1

Catanzaro 0

1/16-finals

Bologna -

TBD -

Parma 3

Spezia 2

Lazio -

TBD -

AC Milan 3

Lecce 0

Atalanta -

TBD -

Empoli 1

Genoa 3

Juventus -

TBD -

Udinese 2

Palermo 1

Inter -

TBD -

Verona 0

Venezia 1

AS Roma -

TBD -

Torino 1

Pisa 0

Napoli -

TBD -

Frosinone 1

Cagliari 4

Fiorentina -

TBD -

Como 3

Sassuolo 0

1/8-finals

Bologna 2

Parma 1

Lazio 1

AC Milan 0

Atalanta 4

Genoa 0

Juventus 2

Udinese 0

Inter 5

Venezia 1

AS Roma 2

Torino 3

Napoli 2

Cagliari 1

Fiorentina 1

Como 3

Quarter-finals

Bologna 1

Lazio 2

Atalanta 3

Juventus 0

Inter 2

Torino 1

Napoli 1

Como 2

Semi-finals

Lazio 4

Atalanta 3

Inter 3

Como 2

Final

Lazio 0

Inter 2

Bologna vs Lazio

Italy

Bologna

Lazio

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Bologna Compare

Lazio Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

Lazio

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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