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Bologna vs Monza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Varela G.
(Penalty)
12'
Mangas R.
17'
Odgaard J.

AI Match Summary

Bologna in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bologna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Bologna
15%
Draws
17%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bologna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bologna lately — more wins on the board than Monza.
  • Win probability leans Bologna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bologna here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bologna Clean Sheet 14%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Monza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Monza
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Monza
3:1
Dec 3, 2024 Coppa Italia
Bologna vs Monza
4:0
Sep 22, 2024 Serie A
Monza vs Bologna
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Serie A
Bologna vs Monza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Pobega T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Monza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 84 / 100
Monza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bologna scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Monza has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Bologna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Monza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)
31 Oct
Bologna
2 : 1
Monza
28 Oct
AC Milan
2 : 4
Bologna
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
17 Oct
Bologna
1 : 3
Inter
11 Oct
Lecce
1 : 2
Bologna
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Monza

(Away)
31 Oct
Bologna
2 : 1
Monza
28 Oct
Monza
1 : 4
Napoli
23 Oct
Torino
3 : 2
Monza
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Lazio
3 : 1
Monza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)