Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bologna vs Sassuolo

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Doig J.
38'
Sub
Volpato C. In: Berardi D.
Out: Volpato C.
46'
Sub
Alhassane R. In: Miranda J.
Out: Alhassane R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Bologna and Sassuolo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bologna
30%
Draws
58%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sassuolo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sassuolo come out ahead of Bologna on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sassuolo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bologna Clean Sheet 18%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Sassuolo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Sassuolo
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Bologna
0:1
Dec 28, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Sassuolo
1:1
Feb 3, 2024 Serie A
Bologna vs Sassuolo
4:2
Oct 28, 2023 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Bologna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Piccoli R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dovbyk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sassuolo Compare

Top Goalscorer Doig J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adzic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 10 / 100
Sassuolo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sassuolo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bologna scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bologna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Sassuolo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
Page 1 of 6

Sassuolo

(Away)
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
29 Aug
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Torino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)