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Bologna W vs Freedom W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie B Women 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Serie B Women 2025/2026 game between Bologna W and Freedom W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bologna W
20%
Draws
40%
Freedom W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bologna W come out ahead of Freedom W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bologna W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bologna W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bologna W Clean Sheet 13%
Freedom W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna W Freedom W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie B Women
Bologna W vs Freedom W
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Bologna W
0:4
Sep 21, 2025 Coppa Italia Women
Freedom W vs Bologna W
3:4
Mar 23, 2025 Serie B Women
Freedom W vs Bologna W
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie B Women
Bologna W vs Freedom W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna W 57 / 100
Freedom W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna W Freedom W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna W scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Freedom W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Bologna W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bologna W VS Freedom W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna W

(Home)
03 Oct
Venezia W
1 : 3
Bologna W
27 Sept
Bologna W
0 : 1
San Marino Academy W
20 Sept
Venezia W
0 : 1
Bologna W
13 Sept
Catania W
0 : 0
Bologna W
05 Sept
Bologna W
4 : 0
Genoa W
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Freedom W

(Away)
17 May
Trastevere Calcio W
0 : 2
Freedom W
10 May
Freedom W
2 : 1
RES Roma W
03 May
San Marino Academy W
3 : 0
Freedom W
26 Apr
Freedom W
5 : 1
Brescia W
04 Apr
Bologna W
2 : 2
Freedom W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 1907 W 26 22 3 1 72:20 69
2 Lumezzane W 26 18 4 4 52:24 58
3 Cesena W 26 17 2 7 63:33 53
4 Bologna W 26 13 4 9 50:38 43
5 Freedom W 26 11 9 6 50:43 42
6 RES Roma W 26 12 6 8 52:43 42
7 Frosinone W 26 9 6 11 36:43 33
8 Vicenza W 26 9 6 11 33:36 33
9 Brescia W 26 9 5 12 37:43 32
10 Arezzo W 26 8 5 13 29:43 29
11 San Marino Academy W 26 8 4 14 35:54 28
12 Hellas Verona W 26 4 7 15 28:48 19
13 Venezia W 26 4 4 18 30:71 16
14 Trastevere Calcio W 26 3 5 18 22:50 14
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