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Bolton U18 vs Derby U18

England England

Premier League U18 2014/2015
Bolton U18 Logo

Bolton U18

1 - 6
FT
Derby U18 Logo

Derby U18

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derby U18 in this Premier League U18 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bolton U18
20%
Draws
40%
Derby U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Derby U18 have won more games recently than Bolton U18.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League U18 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Derby U18 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bolton U18 Clean Sheet 15%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton U18 Derby U18
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2015 Premier League U18
Bolton U18 vs Derby U18
1:6
Oct 25, 2014 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Bolton U18
0:0
Sep 10, 2011 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Bolton U18
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton U18 30 / 100
Derby U18 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton U18 Derby U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U18 let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bolton U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Bolton U18's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derby U18
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton U18

(Home)
14 Jan
Bolton U18
1 : 3
Stevenage U18
30 Jan
Bolton U18
0 : 3
Leicester U18
18 Jan
Crystal Palace U18
2 : 4
Bolton U18
09 May
Southampton U18
1 : 2
Bolton U18
02 May
Bolton U18
1 : 1
Blackburn U18
Page 1 of 7

Derby U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3
Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U18 22 16 2 4 59:30 50
2 Everton U18 22 13 2 7 49:30 41
3 Manchester City U18 22 12 4 6 45:29 40
4 Manchester United U18 22 12 2 8 29:24 38
5 Wolves U18 22 11 4 7 38:36 37
6 Derby U18 22 8 9 5 47:36 33
7 Liverpool U18 22 8 5 9 51:51 29
8 Sunderland U18 22 8 5 9 33:35 29
9 Newcastle Utd U18 22 6 3 13 36:50 21
10 Blackburn U18 22 5 5 12 31:50 20
11 Stoke City U18 22 5 4 13 23:39 19
12 Bolton U18 22 3 5 14 22:53 14
Promotion - Premier League U18 2014/2015 (Second stage)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 22 15 3 4 69:35 48
2 Tottenham U18 22 11 5 6 49:38 38
3 Aston Villa U18 22 11 5 6 49:48 38
4 West Brom U18 22 10 4 8 36:39 34
5 Reading U18 22 10 3 9 39:37 33
6 West Ham U18 22 9 5 8 45:35 32
7 Leicester U18 22 10 2 10 36:29 32
8 Brighton U18 22 8 3 11 37:41 27
9 Fulham U18 22 8 3 11 34:45 27
10 Southampton U18 22 6 5 11 28:34 23
11 Arsenal U18 22 6 5 11 33:42 23
12 Norwich U18 22 5 3 14 19:51 18
Promotion - Premier League U18 2014/2015 (Second stage)
Promotion - Premier League U18 2014/2015 (Second stage)
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Promotion - Premier League U18 2014/2015 (Second stage)
Promotion - Premier League U18 2014/2015 (Second stage)
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