Sport Picks
Bolton U21 vs Aston Villa U21
England
Premier League U21 2014/2015 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 
Match Events
77'
77'
Burke G.
90'
90'
McKirdy H.
AI Match Summary
Aston Villa U21 in this Premier League U21 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aston Villa U21 lately — more wins on the board than Bolton U21.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Bolton U21 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Aston Villa U21 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolton U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2015 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Aston Villa U21
0:2
Sep 29, 2014 Premier League U21
Aston Villa U21 vs Bolton U21
3:0
Jan 27, 2014 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Aston Villa U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolton U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Burke G.
1 Goals Assists Leader McKirdy H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolton U21 85 / 100
Aston Villa U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolton U21 Aston Villa U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bolton U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Aston Villa U21 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Bolton U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bolton U21 VS Aston Villa U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolton U21
(Home) 21 Sept
Bolton U21
3 : 1 QPR U21
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3 Bolton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
31 Aug
Bolton U21
3 : 1 Coventry U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0 Colchester U21
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21 Sept
Bolton U21
3 : 1 QPR U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1 Southampton U21
31 Aug
Bolton U21
3 : 1 Coventry U21
25 Aug
Bolton U21
7 : 0 Colchester U21
11 May
Bolton U21
1 : 3 Arsenal U21
Page 1 of 3
Aston Villa U21
(Away) 22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2 Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1 Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3 Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4 Brondby U21
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22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1 Aston Villa U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3 Aston Villa U21
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United U21 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 39:23 | 40 |
| 2 | Liverpool U21 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 45:35 | 36 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39:27 | 35 |
| 4 | Sunderland U21 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 35 |
| 5 | Manchester City U21 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 44:40 | 33 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 39:37 | 32 |
| 7 | Norwich U21 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 34:32 | 32 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 32:34 | 31 |
| 9 | Tottenham U21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30:30 | 29 |
| 10 | Everton U21 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 32:37 | 27 |
| 11 | Fulham U21 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27:45 | 22 |
| 12 | West Ham U21 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 20:43 | 17 |
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 39:23 | 50 |
| 2 | Reading U21 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 38:30 | 41 |
| 3 | Derby U21 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39:20 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 38:25 | 37 |
| 5 | West Brom U21 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 37 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 43:39 | 32 |
| 7 | Aston Villa U21 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 8 | Brighton U21 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 19:23 | 23 |
| 9 | Bolton U21 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 26:33 | 23 |
| 10 | Blackburn U21 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 11 | Stoke City U21 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23:50 | 18 |
| 12 | Wolves U21 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24:37 | 17 |
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League U21 (Main)
