Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup

Bolton U21

1 - 1

Southampton U21

Our Tip

Match Events

57'

Watson D.

Assist: Ritchie T.

79'

Gathercole H.

Assist: Sillah Dibaga S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Bolton U21

20%

Draws

35%

Southampton U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Bolton U21 at 1.66 per game, Southampton U21 at 1.5.
45% — that's where the model lands on Bolton U21 taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Southampton U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 18%

Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bolton U21	Southampton U21
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	11	7
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.66	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League Cup

Bolton U21 vs Southampton U21

1:1

Jan 20, 2014 Premier League U21

Bolton U21 vs Southampton U21

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gathercole H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton U21 85 / 100

Southampton U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bolton U21 Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolton U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolton U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Southampton U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Bolton U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bolton U21 VS Southampton U21

2.5 Goals Scored 1.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton U21

(Home)

15 Sept

Millwall U21

0 : 3

Bolton U21

04 Sept

Bolton U21

1 : 1

Southampton U21

31 Aug

Bolton U21

3 : 1

Coventry U21

25 Aug

Bolton U21

7 : 0

Colchester U21

18 Aug

Charlton U21

0 : 1

Bolton U21

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Southampton U21

(Away)

18 Sept

Wolves U21

0 : 2

Southampton U21

12 Sept

Southampton U21

3 : 1

Bournemouth U21

08 Sept

Woking

4 : 1

Southampton U21

04 Sept

Bolton U21

1 : 1

Southampton U21

28 Aug

Everton U21

1 : 2

Southampton U21

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