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Bolton U21 vs Southampton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Watson D.
Assist: Ritchie T.
79' Event
Gathercole H.
Assist: Sillah Dibaga S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Bolton U21
20%
Draws
51%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Southampton U21 at 1.93 per game, Bolton U21 at 1.77.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Southampton U21 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bolton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton U21 Southampton U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League Cup
Bolton U21 vs Southampton U21
1:1
Jan 20, 2014 Premier League U21
Bolton U21 vs Southampton U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Southampton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gathercole H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton U21 10 / 100
Southampton U21 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton U21 Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolton U21 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Southampton U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Bolton U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolton U21 VS Southampton U21
2.25 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton U21

(Home)
02 Nov
Bolton U21
0 : 4
QPR U21
27 Oct
Bolton U21
2 : 6
Huddersfield U21
20 Oct
Wigan U21
1 : 3
Bolton U21
12 Oct
Blackburn U21
3 : 3
Bolton U21
05 Oct
Sheffield Utd U21
2 : 0
Bolton U21
Page 1 of 6

Southampton U21

(Away)
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
30 Oct
Blackburn U21
2 : 1
Southampton U21
26 Oct
Crystal Palace U21
2 : 5
Southampton U21
20 Oct
Southampton U21
1 : 1
Juventus U21
13 Oct
Boston United
5 : 6
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 4 2 1 1 11:4 7
2 Blackburn U21 4 2 1 1 9:10 7
3 QPR U21 4 2 0 2 11:10 6
4 Bolton U21 4 0 2 2 5:12 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 11:7 9
2 Leicester U21 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Cardiff U21 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
4 Plymouth U21 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 4 2 2 0 11:6 8
2 Swansea U21 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
3 Birmingham U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
4 Gillingham U21 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Peterborough U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Luton U21 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Preston U21 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
3 Burnley U21 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Fleetwood Town U21 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Sheffield Utd U21 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Millwall U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 West Ham U21 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
2 Norwich U21 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Exeter U21 3 2 0 1 10:9 6
4 Reading U21 4 0 0 4 6:13 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry U21 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
2 West Brom U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ipswich U21 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
4 Bromley U21 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 4 3 1 0 11:5 10
2 Leeds U21 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
3 Stockport U21 4 1 0 3 8:11 3
4 Stoke City U21 4 0 3 1 4:8 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brentford U21 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
2 Hull City U21 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
3 Wycombe U21 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
4 Derby U21 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams