Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolton vs Bradford City

England England

League One 2025/2026 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Neufville J.
60' Event
Cozier-Duberry A.
Assist: Cissoko I.
67'
Sub
Lapslie G. In: Wright T.
Out: Lapslie G.

AI Match Summary

Bolton in this League One 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bolton
39%
Draws
31%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bradford City haven't matched Bolton's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Bolton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bolton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bolton Clean Sheet 68%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton Bradford City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Bolton
0:1
May 9, 2026 League One
Bolton vs Bradford City
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Bolton
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bolton vs Bradford City
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Bolton vs Bradford City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Cozier-Duberry A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bradford City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton 41 / 100
Bradford City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton Bradford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolton found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Bradford City let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Bolton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Bradford City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolton VS Bradford City
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton

(Home)
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
17 Jul
Dun. Streda
2 : 1
Bolton
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1
Stockport County
14 May
Bradford City
0 : 1
Bolton
09 May
Bolton
1 : 0
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

Bradford City

(Away)
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Halifax
1 : 6
Bradford City
04 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 2
Bradford City
14 May
Bradford City
0 : 1
Bolton
09 May
Bolton
1 : 0
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bradford City0
Bolton2
Stockport County3
Stevenage0
Final
Bolton4
Stockport County1