Sport Picks
Bolton vs Bristol City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 
Match Events
11'
11'
Williams J.
13'
13'
Ballard D.
Assist: Knight J.
16'
16'
Sheehan J.
Assist: Gale T.
AI Match Summary
Bristol City in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bristol City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Bolton haven't matched Bristol City's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bolton Clean Sheet 17%
Bristol City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 Championship
Bolton vs Bristol City
2:3
Jan 25, 2019 FA Cup
Bristol City vs Bolton
2:1
Jan 12, 2019 Championship
Bristol City vs Bolton
2:1
Aug 11, 2018 Championship
Bolton vs Bristol City
2:2
Feb 2, 2018 Championship
Bolton vs Bristol City
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolton Compare
Top Goalscorer Sheehan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dalby S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Bristol City Compare
Top Goalscorer Ballard D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolton 31 / 100
Bristol City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolton Bristol City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Bolton's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Bristol City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Bolton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bolton VS Bristol City
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolton
(Home) 31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3 Bristol City
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0 Bolton
13 Oct
Wolves
1 : 3 Bolton
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2 Stoke City
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3 Bristol City
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5 Middlesbrough
10 Oct
Bolton
1 : 2 Stoke City
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
Page 1 of 3
Bristol City
(Away) 31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3 Bristol City
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0 Bristol City
17 Oct
Bristol City
0 : 1 Sheffield Utd
13 Oct
Bristol City
0 : 1 Blackburn
10 Oct
Charlton
1 : 1 Bristol City
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3 Bristol City
24 Oct
Stoke City
0 : 0 Bristol City
10 Oct
Charlton
1 : 1 Bristol City
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Bristol City
12 Sept
Southampton
4 : 1 Bristol City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
