Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolton vs West Ham

England England

Championship Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Scarles O.
13' Event
Bowen J.
18' Event
Erhahon E.

AI Match Summary

West Ham in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored West Ham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bolton
15%
Draws
53%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Ham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham lately — more wins on the board than Bolton.
  • Win probability leans West Ham's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton West Ham
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Championship
Bolton vs West Ham
2:3
Sep 19, 2017 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Bolton
3:0
Apr 9, 2011 Premier League
Bolton vs West Ham
3:0
Aug 21, 2010 Premier League
West Ham vs Bolton
1:3
Mar 6, 2010 Premier League
West Ham vs Bolton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Erhahon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mavropanos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton 10 / 100
West Ham 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton West Ham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bolton found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

West Ham has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Bolton has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolton VS West Ham
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton

(Home)
20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4
Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

West Ham

(Away)
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
West Ham
3 : 0
Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 West Brom 7 4 2 1 10:7 14
5 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
6 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
7 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
9 Wolves 6 3 2 1 14:10 11
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Norwich 7 3 0 4 13:13 9
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
18 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
19 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
20 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
21 Bolton 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)