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Bolton vs West Ham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Bolton Logo

Bolton

2 - 3
FT
West Ham Logo

West Ham

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Scarles O.
13' Event
Bowen J.
18' Event
Erhahon E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

West Ham in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored West Ham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bolton
20%
Draws
40%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham lately — more wins on the board than Bolton.
  • Win probability leans West Ham's way, sitting at 50%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%
West Ham Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolton West Ham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.52 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Championship
Bolton vs West Ham
2:3
Sep 19, 2017 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Bolton
3:0
Apr 9, 2011 Premier League
Bolton vs West Ham
3:0
Aug 21, 2010 Premier League
West Ham vs Bolton
1:3
Mar 6, 2010 Premier League
West Ham vs Bolton
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Erhahon E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Bowen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mavropanos K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolton 22 / 100
West Ham 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolton West Ham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bolton found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

West Ham has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Bolton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolton VS West Ham
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolton

(Home)
03 Nov
Charlton
0 : 1
Bolton
31 Oct
Bolton
2 : 3
Bristol City
23 Oct
Bolton
1 : 5
Middlesbrough
17 Oct
Southampton
0 : 0
Bolton
13 Oct
Wolves
1 : 3
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

West Ham

(Away)
04 Nov
Cardiff
3 : 3
West Ham
31 Oct
West Ham
1 : 3
West Brom
24 Oct
West Ham
2 : 3
Southampton
17 Oct
Swansea
0 : 1
West Ham
14 Oct
Lincoln City
0 : 6
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 14 8 4 2 30:19 28
2 Wolves 14 8 3 3 25:17 27
3 Birmingham 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Stoke City 14 8 2 4 22:17 26
5 Swansea 14 8 2 4 21:16 26
6 West Brom 14 7 4 3 20:15 25
7 Southampton 14 8 4 2 29:14 24
8 West Ham 14 6 5 3 36:21 23
9 Sheffield Utd 14 6 4 4 20:17 22
10 Portsmouth 14 6 4 4 19:16 22
11 QPR 14 5 6 3 22:17 21
12 Norwich 14 6 0 8 27:24 18
13 Millwall 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
14 Blackburn 14 5 3 6 20:22 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 16:19 18
16 Wrexham 14 4 5 5 17:19 17
17 Bolton 14 5 2 7 19:26 17
18 Cardiff 14 3 6 5 22:23 15
19 Lincoln City 14 4 3 7 14:24 15
20 Watford 14 4 2 8 13:23 14
21 Charlton 14 3 5 6 11:22 14
22 Burnley 14 1 7 6 18:26 10
23 Derby 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
24 Preston 14 1 2 11 12:30 5
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