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Bom Jesus vs Tupy FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

1 - 1
FT
Tupy FC Logo

Tupy FC

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Lucas Lotto
8' Event
Gabriel
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 game between Bom Jesus and Tupy FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bom Jesus
35%
Draws
23%
Tupy FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Bom Jesus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 20%
Tupy FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bom Jesus Tupy FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 2.04 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Goiano 2
Bom Jesus vs Tupy FC
1:1
Aug 26, 2026 Goiano 2
Tupy FC vs Bom Jesus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bom Jesus Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Lotto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tupy FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bom Jesus 32 / 100
Tupy FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bom Jesus Tupy FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tupy FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bom Jesus scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Tupy FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Bom Jesus stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bom Jesus VS Tupy FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bom Jesus

(Home)
07 Oct
Bom Jesus
3 : 2
Morrinhos
03 Oct
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Trindade
27 Sept
Rio Verde
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
23 Sept
Gremio Anapolis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
20 Sept
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
Goiania
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Tupy FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Trindade
2 : 3
Tupy FC
07 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 1
Rio Verde
03 Oct
Tupy FC
1 : 3
Goianesia
26 Sept
Goiania
1 : 1
Tupy FC
23 Sept
Mineiros
1 : 0
Tupy FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 26:12 33
2 Bom Jesus 17 8 7 2 24:15 31
3 Goianesia 17 8 6 3 24:19 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 19:14 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 24:24 22
6 Tupy FC 18 5 7 6 18:19 22
7 Goiania 17 4 8 5 13:18 20
8 Sao Luis 17 3 7 7 19:26 16
9 Gremio Anapolis 17 3 5 9 20:27 14
10 Trindade 18 2 6 10 15:28 12
Promotion - Goiano 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Goiano 3 (Main)