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Bombada vs Fortune

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Jarju E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Bombada and Fortune finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bombada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Bombada
15%
Draws
61%
Fortune
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortune

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortune come out ahead of Bombada on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fortune a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bombada Clean Sheet 20%
Fortune Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombada Fortune
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Fortune
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 GFA League
Fortune vs Bombada
2:3
May 21, 2025 GFA League
Fortune vs Bombada
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 GFA League
Bombada vs Fortune
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 GFA League
Bombada vs Fortune
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 10 / 100
Fortune 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombada Fortune

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortune Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Fortune has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Bombada has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bombada VS Fortune
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombada

(Home)
22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1
Bombada
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Bombada
2 : 0
Gambia Ports
Page 1 of 6

Fortune

(Away)
22 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Steve Biko
17 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Real Banjul
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0
BST Galaxy
25 May
Brikama United
1 : 2
Fortune
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)