Sport Picks

Gambia

GFA League

Gambia Ports

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bombada play Gambia Ports in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bombada averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Gambia Ports averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Bombada won 3, Gambia Ports won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Bombada and 0.94 for Gambia Ports. This points to a Bombada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Bombada

32%

Draws

32%

Gambia Ports

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Bombada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Bombada picked up more points recently compared to Gambia Ports.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 14%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Bombada Clean Sheet 24%

Gambia Ports Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bombada	Gambia Ports
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	11	11
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	1.2	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 GFA League

Bombada vs Gambia Ports

Possession: 51% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Feb 7, 2026 GFA League

Gambia Ports vs Bombada

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

May 16, 2018 GFA League

Gambia Ports vs Bombada

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jan 7, 2018 GFA League

Bombada vs Gambia Ports

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Mar 5, 2017 GFA League

Gambia Ports vs Bombada

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bombada Compare

Top Goalscorer Colley L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Gambia Ports Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 37 / 100

Gambia Ports 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bombada Gambia Ports

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bombada or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +35.2%

5.88

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bombada attacking → ← attacking Gambia Ports

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gambia Ports let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bombada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gambia Ports lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 44

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	54
2	Fortune	30	14	11	5	33:21	53
3	Gambia Ports	30	12	11	7	26:18	47
4	Bombada	30	11	11	8	36:32	44
5	Brikama United	30	11	10	9	37:33	43
6	Real Banjul	30	9	14	7	30:25	41
7	BST Galaxy	30	9	12	9	29:32	39
8	Hart Academy	30	9	11	10	36:34	38
9	Team Rhino	30	9	10	11	26:29	37
10	Falcons	30	7	14	9	19:24	35
11	Dutch Lions	30	7	13	10	33:33	34
12	Greater Tomorrow	30	8	10	12	25:35	34
13	Hawks	30	7	12	11	25:31	33
14	TMT	30	7	12	11	20:29	33
15	Samger	30	6	14	10	23:27	32
16	Steve Biko	30	5	15	10	24:28	30