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Bombada vs Medina United

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kanteh A.

AI Match Summary

Medina United in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Medina United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bombada
20%
Draws
52%
Medina United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Medina United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Medina United have won more games recently than Bombada.
  • Win probability leans Medina United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bombada Clean Sheet 22%
Medina United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombada Medina United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Medina United
0:1
Feb 17, 2026 GFA League
Medina United vs Bombada
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bombada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Medina United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanteh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 21 / 100
Medina United 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombada Medina United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Medina United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Medina United let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Bombada has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bombada VS Medina United
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombada

(Home)
22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1
Bombada
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Bombada
2 : 0
Gambia Ports
Page 1 of 6

Medina United

(Away)
12 Sept
Medina United
1 : 1
Star Sport Academy
05 Sept
Star Sport Academy
0 : 0
Medina United
22 Jun
Gambia Ports
0 : 1
Medina United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)