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Bombarralense vs U. Madeira Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2010/2011
Sun, Nov 21, 2010
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal 2010/2011. Bombarralense go into this one as the clear favorite. Bombarralense have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against U. Madeira's 0.3 scored and 3.4 conceded. Past meetings favor Bombarralense slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 21, 2010, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.92 vs 0.63, favoring Bombarralense. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bombarralense
20%
Draws
16%
U. Madeira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bombarralense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bombarralense lately — more wins on the board than U. Madeira.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Bombarralense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Bombarralense Clean Sheet 20%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombarralense U. Madeira
Matches Played 7 10
Wins 2 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0.86 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Bombarralense vs U. Madeira
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombarralense 32 / 100
U. Madeira 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombarralense U. Madeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Madeira has conceded goals in 100% of their last 9 outings.

U. Madeira lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Bombarralense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bombarralense VS U. Madeira
0 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombarralense

(Home)
20 Sept
Bombarralense
0 : 1
Vizela
28 Aug
GD Alcochetense
6 : 2
Bombarralense
21 Nov
Bombarralense
:
U. Madeira
17 Oct
Bombarralense
0 : 0
Louletano
19 Sept
Santacruzense
0 : 2
Bombarralense
Page 1 of 2

U. Madeira

(Away)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Porto 4
AD Limianos 1
Operario 0
Moreirense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
Juv. Evora 1
Leixoes 3
Mafra 2
AD Pontassolense 1
SC Espinho 4
Tirsense 5
Sampedrense 1
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Rio Ave 4
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Anadia 1
Feirense 2
GD Tourizense 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Sertanense 0
Padroense 2
Nacional 4
Braga 2
1º Dezembro 1
Arouca 1
Benfica 5
Academica 2
FC Cesarense 1
SC Mirandela 1
Beira Mar 2
Bombarralense 0
Louletano 0
Leiria 1
U. Madeira 2
Sporting CP 2
Estoril 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Maritimo 2
Naval 0
Gil Vicente 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
SC Farense 1
Fatima 0
Carregado 1
Ribeirao 2
BSAD 0
Gondomar 0
Varzim 1
Torreense 1
Lagoa 0
Coimbroes 1
Mondinense 2
Portimonense 2
Cinfaes 0
Malveira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
Moreirense 0
Santa Maria FC 0
Juv. Evora 3
Leixoes 2
SC Espinho 1
Tirsense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 3
Feirense 0
GD Tourizense 2
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Nacional 0
Braga 0
Benfica 2
Academica 2
Beira Mar 0
Bombarralense -
U. Madeira -
Sporting CP 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Maritimo 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Carregado 0
Ribeirao 3
Varzim 4
Torreense 2
Mondinense 1
Portimonense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Juv. Evora 0
Leixoes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 4
Atletico CP 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 5
Academica 3
U. Madeira 1
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Varzim 1
Torreense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Pinhalnovense 0
Rio Ave 0
Benfica 2
Academica 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Benfica 3
Academica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Final
FC Porto 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 2