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Bonaire vs Grenada

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bonaire host Grenada in the CONCACAF Nations League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bonaire have averaged 1.33 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Grenada's 1.25 scored and 1.84 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.88) point toward Grenada. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bonaire
15%
Draws
0%
Grenada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonaire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bonaire haven't matched Grenada's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bonaire a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%
Grenada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Grenada
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 83 / 100
Grenada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Grenada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonaire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenada's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bonaire's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Grenada has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Bonaire went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Grenada
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
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Grenada

(Away)
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
16 May
Ireland
5 : 0
Grenada
30 Mar
Grenada
0 : 3
Kenya
27 Mar
Rwanda
4 : 0
Grenada
18 Jan
Grenada
0 : 1
Jamaica
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