Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonaire vs Montserrat Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Arnos Vale Stadium, Kingstown
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Libania J. In: Serberie A.
Out: Libania J.
49' Event
Taylor L.
(Penalty)
56'
Serberie A.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 game between Bonaire and Montserrat finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montserrat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bonaire
15%
Draws
64%
Montserrat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bonaire haven't matched Montserrat's recent run of results.
  • Montserrat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 12%
Montserrat Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Montserrat
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Montserrat vs Bonaire
0:1
Oct 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Montserrat
0:1
Jun 3, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Montserrat vs Bonaire
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 10 / 100
Montserrat 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Montserrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montserrat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Montserrat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.67 goals when they meet.

Bonaire went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Montserrat
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Page 1 of 6

Montserrat

(Away)
26 Sept
Montserrat
3 : 0
British Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Turks and Caicos Islands
0 : 2
Montserrat
11 Jun
Guyana
3 : 0
Montserrat
04 Jun
Montserrat
1 : 0
Belize
18 Nov
El Salvador
1 : 0
Montserrat
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Bonaire 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
4 Montserrat 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 4 1 1 15:3 13
2 Saint Lucia 6 3 0 3 7:15 9
3 Grenada 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Saint Martin 6 2 0 4 8:13 6
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 6 0 0 29:5 18
2 Puerto Rico 6 3 0 3 11:12 9
3 Sint Maarten 6 3 0 3 7:18 9
4 Aruba 6 0 0 6 5:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominican Republic 6 6 0 0 27:4 18
2 Bermuda 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 Dominica 6 1 1 4 6:18 4
4 Antigua and Barbuda 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)