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Bonaire vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League Antonio Trinidad Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Charles D.
36' Event
Hoeve Q.
Assist: Sonnenschein B.
39' Event
Pierre S.

AI Match Summary

Bonaire host Saint Vincent and the Grenadines in the CONCACAF Nations League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Bonaire at 1 goals for, 2.83 against; Saint Vincent and the Grenadines at 2 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Saint Vincent and the Grenadines slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.42, favoring Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bonaire
6%
Draws
90%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bonaire.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Nations League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.83 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Bonaire vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Bonaire
3:1
Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1:1
Mar 21, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines vs Bonaire
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoeve Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierre S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 10 / 100
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SVG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Bonaire went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
1 Goals Scored 2
2.83 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador650112:615
2Saint Vincent and the Grenadines641112:713
3Bonaire61144:84
4Montserrat61053:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao641115:313
2Saint Lucia63037:159
3Grenada62137:67
4Saint Martin62048:136
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti660029:518
2Puerto Rico630311:129
3Sint Maarten63037:189
4Aruba60065:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic660027:418
2Bermuda640215:1312
3Dominica61146:184
4Antigua and Barbuda60152:151