Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonaire vs Sint Maarten

World World

Friendly International 2024 Sportpark De Waayenberg, Doorwerth
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Amatkarijo C.
62' Event
Felicia G.
71' Event
Amatkarijo C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Bonaire and Sint Maarten finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sint Maarten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Bonaire
20%
Draws
63%
Sint Maarten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sint Maarten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Sint Maarten carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sint Maarten are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sint Maarten here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 13%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Sint Maarten
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Friendly International
Bonaire vs Sint Maarten
1:3
Mar 25, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Bonaire
6:1
Jun 6, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Sint Maarten
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Felicia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sint Maarten Compare

Top Goalscorer Amatkarijo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Vries E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 22 / 100
Sint Maarten 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Sint Maarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sint Maarten Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sint Maarten let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Bonaire scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Bonaire remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Sint Maarten
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
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Sint Maarten

(Away)
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3
Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0
Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1
Sint Maarten
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