Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Devine L.
Assist: King B.
14' Event
Martyniuk N.
Penalty Missed
40' Event
Jones A.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Boness United and Bonnyrigg Rose finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Boness United
15%
Draws
51%
Bonnyrigg Rose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boness United haven't matched Bonnyrigg Rose's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bonnyrigg Rose a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bonnyrigg Rose have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boness United Bonnyrigg Rose
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.52 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:4
Nov 15, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
4:0
Sep 30, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
3:0
Aug 21, 2021 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boness United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Bryce R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Devine L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boness United 18 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boness United Bonnyrigg Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boness United found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Bonnyrigg Rose's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Boness United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boness United VS Bonnyrigg Rose
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boness United

(Home)
03 Oct
Boness United
3 : 2
Irvine Meadow
26 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 1
Boness United
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Lochee United
5 : 0
Boness United
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
Page 1 of 7

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Away)
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)