Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boness United vs Tranent FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Grant T.
Assist: Allan J.
69' Event
Girdwood H.
Assist: Murray R.
90' Event
Bauld E.
Assist: Murray R.

AI Match Summary

Tranent FC in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tranent FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Boness United
20%
Draws
52%
Tranent FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tranent FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Tranent FC have won more games recently than Boness United.
  • Tranent FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%
Tranent FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boness United Tranent FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Lowland League
Boness United vs Tranent FC
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Boness United
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Tranent FC
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Lowland League
Boness United vs Tranent FC
1:2
Aug 6, 2024 Lowland League
Tranent FC vs Boness United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boness United Compare

Top Goalscorer Grant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tranent FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Girdwood H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bauld E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boness United 10 / 100
Tranent FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boness United Tranent FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranent FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boness United scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Tranent FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Boness United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boness United VS Tranent FC
2 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boness United

(Home)
03 Oct
Boness United
3 : 2
Irvine Meadow
26 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 1
Boness United
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0
East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Lochee United
5 : 0
Boness United
12 Sept
Boness United
1 : 2
Broxburn Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Tranent FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Broxburn Athletic
1 : 1
Tranent FC
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)