Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonn-Endenich 08 vs Bergisch Gladbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bonn-Endenich 08 play Bergisch Gladbach in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2024/2025. Bergisch Gladbach are favorites here. Recently, Bonn-Endenich 08 averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Bergisch Gladbach averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Bonn-Endenich 08 won 0, Bergisch Gladbach won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Bonn-Endenich 08 and 1.00 for Bergisch Gladbach. This points to a Bergisch Gladbach double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Bonn-Endenich 08
25%
Draws
60%
Bergisch Gladbach
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Bergisch Gladbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Bonn-Endenich 08 picked up more points recently compared to Bergisch Gladbach.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Bonn-Endenich 08 Clean Sheet 23%
Bergisch Gladbach Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonn-Endenich 08 Bergisch Gladbach
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 24
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1.2 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.05

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonn-Endenich 08 vs Bergisch Gladbach
1:3
Dec 1, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonn-Endenich 08
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bergisch Gladbach vs Bonn-Endenich 08
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Bonn-Endenich 08 vs Bergisch Gladbach
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonn-Endenich 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Merlan-Jarecki J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Bergisch Gladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Mimini A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nizeti Panebianco G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonn-Endenich 08 18 / 100
Bergisch Gladbach 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonn-Endenich 08 Bergisch Gladbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergisch Gladbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bergisch Gladbach & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bonn-Endenich 08 attacking → ← attacking Bergisch Gladbach

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonn-Endenich 08 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Bergisch Gladbach let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Bonn-Endenich 08 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bergisch Gladbach lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 81
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bonner30234383:3273
2Merten30193876:4460
3Siegburger301811171:5955
4Frechen30156956:5351
5Konigsdorf301461069:3348
6FC Wegberg-Beeck301531260:5148
7Bergisch Gladbach301281060:5744
8VfL Vichttal301321564:6041
9SpVg Porz 1919301141553:6737
10Hennef301061440:5836
11Teutonia Weiden301061466:9436
12Fortuna Koln II301051551:5035
13Pesch30981352:5235
14FC Hurth307121141:4933
15Bonn-Endenich 0830651937:7723
16Schafhausen30571830:7322