Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs Lotte

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ritter M.
36' Event
Kurt K.
52' Event
Shubin B.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Bonner and Lotte finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lotte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bonner
28%
Draws
22%
Lotte
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bonner carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bonner are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lotte have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bonner Clean Sheet 16%
Lotte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner Lotte
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Lotte
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Regionalliga West
Lotte vs Bonner
1:0
Mar 26, 2022 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Lotte
0:2
Oct 16, 2021 Regionalliga West
Lotte vs Bonner
0:2
Jan 16, 2021 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Lotte
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Shubin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lotte Compare

Top Goalscorer Ritter M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurt K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 48 / 100
Lotte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner Lotte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bonner scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lotte conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Lotte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS Lotte
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
31 Jul
Bonner
1 : 2
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
26 Jul
Bonner
1 : 3
Uerdingen
25 Jul
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Bonner
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
11 Jul
Eintracht Trier
0 : 4
Bonner
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Lotte

(Away)
01 Aug
Lotte
0 : 1
Gutersloh
24 Jul
Lotte
1 : 2
Werder Bremen II
18 Jul
Lotte
0 : 3
Betis
14 Jul
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 1
Lotte
11 Jul
Twente
3 : 1
Lotte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)