Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs Paderborn II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Damaschek M.
Own Goal
73' Event
Koruk S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bonner
22%
Draws
60%
Paderborn II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paderborn II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Paderborn II have won more games recently than Bonner.
  • Win probability leans Paderborn II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bonner Clean Sheet 15%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner Paderborn II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Paderborn II
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Bonner
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Koruk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paderborn II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 19 / 100
Paderborn II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner Paderborn II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Paderborn II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Bonner stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS Paderborn II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
26 Jul
Bonner
1 : 3
Uerdingen
25 Jul
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Bonner
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
11 Jul
Eintracht Trier
0 : 4
Bonner
04 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 1
Bonner
Page 1 of 6

Paderborn II

(Away)
25 Jul
Paderborn II
5 : 1
VfB Oldenburg
18 Jul
Paderborn II
0 : 5
Drochtersen / Assel
15 Jul
Paderborn II
0 : 1
Verl
01 Jul
Paderborn II
2 : 0
Wiedenbruck
26 Jun
Paderborn II
2 : 0
Kassel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortuna Koln342010471:3070
2Rot-Weiss Oberhausen34199660:4066
3Schalke II34187977:5061
4Gutersloh341611755:4059
5Dortmund II341610866:5058
6B. Monchengladbach II341771061:4658
7Siegen341412862:4354
8Paderborn II3412101252:3846
9Bonner3412101238:4246
10Koln II341361555:6345
11Lotte3411121145:5545
12Dusseldorf II341171647:5840
13Bocholt341091549:5739
14Bochum II349121350:6239
15Rodinghausen34781946:6329
16Wiedenbruck34781939:6529
17Wuppertaler345111836:7026
18SSVg Velbert34672135:7225
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)