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Bonner vs Paderborn II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
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Match Events

11' Event
Damaschek M.
Own Goal
73' Event
Koruk S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Bonner
35%
Draws
27%
Paderborn II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Paderborn II have won more games recently than Bonner.
  • Win probability leans Bonner's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Bonner Clean Sheet 11%
Paderborn II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner Paderborn II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Bonner
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs Paderborn II
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Regionalliga West
Paderborn II vs Bonner
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Top Goalscorer Koruk S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Paderborn II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 35 / 100
Paderborn II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner Paderborn II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonner found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Paderborn II has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Bonner went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS Paderborn II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
02 Oct
Bonner
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
27 Sept
SG Wattenscheid
1 : 1
Bonner
19 Sept
Bonner
3 : 2
Bergisch Gladbach
12 Sept
Siegen
3 : 3
Bonner
04 Sept
Bonner
2 : 1
Koln II
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Paderborn II

(Away)
25 Sept
Gutersloh
1 : 3
Paderborn II
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
12 Sept
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
Paderborn II
06 Sept
Paderborn II
5 : 2
SG Wattenscheid
02 Sept
Siegen
2 : 2
Paderborn II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)