Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonner vs SSVg Velbert

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026 Sportpark Nord, Bonn
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Golubytskij A.

AI Match Summary

SSVg Velbert in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SSVg Velbert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bonner
44%
Draws
20%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonner lately — more wins on the board than SSVg Velbert.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bonner Clean Sheet 13%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonner SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bonner vs SSVg Velbert
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Bonner
0:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Bonner vs SSVg Velbert
1:2
Aug 2, 2024 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Bonner
5:2
Apr 29, 2009 Oberliga NRW
SSVg Velbert vs Bonner
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonner Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

SSVg Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Golubytskij A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonner 35 / 100
SSVg Velbert 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonner SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SSVg Velbert conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Bonner scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

SSVg Velbert lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonner VS SSVg Velbert
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonner

(Home)
26 Jul
Bonner
1 : 3
Uerdingen
25 Jul
Kaiserslautern II
1 : 0
Bonner
18 Jul
Bonner
1 : 4
Duisburg
11 Jul
Eintracht Trier
0 : 4
Bonner
04 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
4 : 1
Bonner
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SSVg Velbert

(Away)
12 Jul
Sprockhovel
2 : 6
SSVg Velbert
05 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
2 : 1
SSVg Velbert
16 May
Siegen
3 : 1
SSVg Velbert
08 May
SSVg Velbert
1 : 3
Paderborn II
02 May
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
SSVg Velbert
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortuna Koln342010471:3070
2Rot-Weiss Oberhausen34199660:4066
3Schalke II34187977:5061
4Gutersloh341611755:4059
5Dortmund II341610866:5058
6B. Monchengladbach II341771061:4658
7Siegen341412862:4354
8Paderborn II3412101252:3846
9Bonner3412101238:4246
10Koln II341361555:6345
11Lotte3411121145:5545
12Dusseldorf II341171647:5840
13Bocholt341091549:5739
14Bochum II349121350:6239
15Rodinghausen34781946:6329
16Wiedenbruck34781939:6529
17Wuppertaler345111836:7026
18SSVg Velbert34672135:7225
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)