Sport Picks
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Brechin
Scotland
Lowland League New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg 
Match Events
14'
14'
King B.
Assist: Watson K.
17'
17'
McKay B.
Assist: Watson D.
31'
31'
Watson D.
Assist: Macleod F.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Bonnyrigg Rose and Brechin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brechin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brechin carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Brechin taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Brechin have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 12%
Brechin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bonnyrigg Rose | Brechin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Brechin
1:2
Nov 10, 2012 Scottish Cup
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Brechin
0:6
Nov 3, 2012 Scottish Cup
Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bonnyrigg Rose Compare
Top Goalscorer King B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Brechin Compare
Top Goalscorer McKay B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Watson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bonnyrigg Rose 14 / 100
Brechin 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bonnyrigg Rose Brechin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brechin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonnyrigg Rose found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Brechin has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Bonnyrigg Rose went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bonnyrigg Rose VS Brechin
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bonnyrigg Rose
(Home) 22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
12 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
29 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2 Hill Of Beath
25 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 1 Rangers B
11 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 0 Annan
Page 1 of 3
Brechin
(Away) 19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1 Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1 Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2 Brechin
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1 Musselburgh
22 Aug
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2 Brechin
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1 Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2 Brechin
22 Aug
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2 Brechin
01 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2 Brechin
29 Jul
East Stirlingshire
3 : 3 Brechin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Hill Of Beath | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Linlithgow Rose | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Brechin | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Broxburn Athletic | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Boness United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:18 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:24 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 31:13 | 24 |
| 2 | Largs Thistle | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 4 | Pollok | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Auchinleck Talbot | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 |
| 6 | Cumnock Juniors | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Caledonian Braves | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Johnstone Burgh | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Albion Rovers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Beith | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 14 | Renfrew | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16:26 | 7 |
| 15 | Gretna 2008 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 20:32 | 7 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:32 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:30 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
