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Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026 New Dundas Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between Bonnyrigg Rose and East Stirlingshire finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bonnyrigg Rose
20%
Draws
38%
East Stirlingshire
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • East Stirlingshire haven't matched Bonnyrigg Rose's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bonnyrigg Rose taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bonnyrigg Rose here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 13%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose East Stirlingshire
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 6
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:5
Apr 9, 2022 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire
2:2
Oct 23, 2021 Scottish Cup
East Stirlingshire vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3
Aug 18, 2021 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 40 / 100
East Stirlingshire 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose East Stirlingshire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg Rose scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: East Stirlingshire conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Bonnyrigg Rose remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS East Stirlingshire
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linlithgow Rose34243789:3975
2Clydebank FC34234794:3973
3Bonnyrigg Rose34216779:4269
4Tranent FC34207763:3267
5Caledonian Braves341851175:4859
6Cumbernauld Colts341751272:5356
7Broxburn Athletic341571268:6152
8Berwick341471362:6849
9Boness United341461461:5648
10Celtic B3412101273:7146
11Cowdenbeath341291351:5345
12Gala Fairydean Rovers341321952:6641
13Albion Rovers341231948:7139
14Civil Service Strollers341151840:7938
15Stirling University34971855:8234
16Hearts B34781942:7829
17Gretna 200834772050:9028
18East Stirlingshire34532648:9418