Sport Picks
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Lowland League New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg 
Match Events
37'
37'
Devine L.
45'
45'
Brown S.
48'
48'
Scott M.
Assist: Currie L.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Bonnyrigg Rose and East Stirlingshire finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- East Stirlingshire haven't matched Bonnyrigg Rose's recent run of results.
- Model gives Bonnyrigg Rose a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Bonnyrigg Rose have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 17%
East Stirlingshire Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bonnyrigg Rose | East Stirlingshire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire
4:1
Feb 7, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Lowland League
East Stirlingshire vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:5
Apr 9, 2022 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Stirlingshire
2:2
Oct 23, 2021 Scottish Cup
East Stirlingshire vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bonnyrigg Rose Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Devine L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
East Stirlingshire Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bonnyrigg Rose 84 / 100
East Stirlingshire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bonnyrigg Rose East Stirlingshire
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonnyrigg Rose found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
East Stirlingshire has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
East Stirlingshire lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bonnyrigg Rose VS East Stirlingshire
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bonnyrigg Rose
(Home) 03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
29 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2 Hill Of Beath
25 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 1 Rangers B
Page 1 of 3
East Stirlingshire
(Away) 03 Oct
Bonnyton Thistle
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
26 Sept
East Stirlingshire
1 : 2 Broxburn Athletic
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4 Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bonnyton Thistle
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
19 Sept
Boness United
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
15 Sept
Cowdenbeath
2 : 0 East Stirlingshire
29 Aug
Dunipace
0 : 3 East Stirlingshire
08 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
4 : 1 East Stirlingshire
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Broxburn Athletic | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Hill Of Beath | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Boness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11:27 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:21 | 19 |
| 7 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 26:20 | 17 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20:23 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25:33 | 10 |
| 13 | Renfrew | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 20:30 | 10 |
| 14 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 15 | Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:37 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:35 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
