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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Smith J.
Assist: Watson K.
69' Event
Mitchell J.
(Penalty)
78' Event
Smith J.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Bonnyrigg Rose and Hill Of Beath finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hill Of Beath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Bonnyrigg Rose
15%
Draws
50%
Hill Of Beath
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hill Of Beath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bonnyrigg Rose come out ahead of Hill Of Beath on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Hill Of Beath taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 16%
Hill Of Beath Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose Hill Of Beath
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.31 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Hill Of Beath
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hill Of Beath Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 28 / 100
Hill Of Beath 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose Hill Of Beath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hill Of Beath Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bonnyrigg Rose scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Hill Of Beath's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bonnyrigg Rose has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Hill Of Beath
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Hill Of Beath

(Away)
03 Oct
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Glasgow University
26 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 1
Lochee United
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Hill Of Beath
2 : 0
Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)