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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Motherwell B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg 
Match Events
39'
39'
Smith J.
(Penalty)
41'
41'
Smith J.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Young K.
Assist: Currie L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bonnyrigg Rose come out ahead of Motherwell B on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Bonnyrigg Rose taking it.
- Bonnyrigg Rose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bonnyrigg Rose, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 20%
Motherwell B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bonnyrigg Rose | Motherwell B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 16 |
| Wins | 15 | 0 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 0.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Motherwell B
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bonnyrigg Rose Compare
Top Goalscorer Young K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Devine L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Motherwell B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bonnyrigg Rose 85 / 100
Motherwell B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bonnyrigg Rose Motherwell B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonnyrigg Rose's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Motherwell B has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.
Away concern: Motherwell B has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Bonnyrigg Rose VS Motherwell B
1.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bonnyrigg Rose
(Home) 03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
29 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2 Hill Of Beath
25 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
2 : 1 Rangers B
Page 1 of 3
Motherwell B
(Away) 26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1 Motherwell B
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0 Motherwell B
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0 Motherwell B
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3 Motherwell B
Page 1 of 4
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1 Motherwell B
08 Sept
Annan
4 : 0 Motherwell B
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0 Motherwell B
11 Aug
Kelty Hearts
4 : 3 Motherwell B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
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