Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2025/2026 New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg

Bonnyrigg Rose

1 - 2

Spartans

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Watson K.

Assist: Tapping J.

12'

Stowe M.

22'

Martyniuk N.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartans in this Scottish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Bonnyrigg Rose

15%

Draws

46%

Spartans

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Bonnyrigg Rose have won more games recently than Spartans.
Win probability leans Bonnyrigg Rose's way, sitting at 50%.
Bonnyrigg Rose have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Spartans, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%

Spartans Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bonnyrigg Rose	Spartans
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	19	9
Draws	4	9
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	2.33	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.68
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Scottish Cup

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Spartans

1:2

Apr 26, 2025 League Two

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Spartans

2:1

Mar 1, 2025 League Two

Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose

3:1

Jan 21, 2025 League Two

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Spartans

2:2

Aug 10, 2024 League Two

Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stowe M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 47 / 100

Spartans 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bonnyrigg Rose Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg Rose's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Spartans's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Bonnyrigg Rose stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Spartans

1.75 Goals Scored 2.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)

19 Sept

Bonnyrigg Rose

6 : 1

Stirling University

16 Sept

Gala Fairydean Rovers

1 : 2

Bonnyrigg Rose

12 Sept

Civil Service Strollers

2 : 0

Bonnyrigg Rose

08 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 1

Bonnyrigg Rose

29 Aug

Bonnyrigg Rose

1 : 2

Hill Of Beath

Page 1 of 6

Spartans

(Away)

19 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 0

Spartans

12 Sept

Spartans

5 : 1

Forfar Athletic

08 Sept

Spartans

0 : 4

Hamilton

05 Sept

Stirling

0 : 2

Spartans

29 Aug

Spartans

3 : 3

Clyde

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Annan -

Lossiemouth 1

Formartine Utd 2

Huntly 1

Buckie Thistle 3

Stranraer -

TBD -

Glenafton 3

Invergordon 2

Jeanfield Swifts 0

Clydebank FC 4

Newtongrange Star 1

East Stirlingshire 3

Boness Athletic 2

Keith 1

Linlithgow Rose 2

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Coldstream 2

Tayport FC 3

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Cumnock Juniors 1

Carluke Rovers FC 0

Gretna 2008 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Albion Rovers 1

Johnstone Burgh 4

Threave Rovers 0

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Stirling University 6

Burntisland Shipyard 2

Elgin City -

TBD -

Darvel FC 1

Deveronvale 3

Forres Mechanics 0

Caledonian Braves 2

TBD -

Stirling -

Musselburgh 2

Bonnyton Thistle 0

TBD -

Forfar Athletic -

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 5

Rothes 0

Cowdenbeath 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Lochee United 1

Brechin 3

Civil Service Strollers 2

Dundonald Bluebell 3

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Boness United 0

Banks O' Dee 3

Brora Rangers 0

Fraserburgh 1

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Kilwinning Rangers 1

Inverurie Loco Works 0

Sauchie 2

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Berwick 0

Nairn County 2

Turriff United 2

Hill Of Beath 1

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 4

Glasgow University 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Broxburn Athletic 1

Spartans -

TBD -

East Kilbride -

Tranent FC 3

Pollok 0

Strathspey Thistle 1

Dundee North End 2

TBD -

Inverness -

1/64-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Clyde 2

Annan 3

Formartine Utd 0

Buckie Thistle 2

Stranraer 4

Glenafton 0

Clydebank FC 3

East Stirlingshire 1

Boness Athletic 0

Linlithgow Rose 2

TBD -

Queen's Park -

Dumbarton 2

Tayport FC 0

Auchinleck Talbot 3

Gretna 2008 1

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians -

TBD -

Hamilton -

East Fife -

TBD -

Arbroath -

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 1

Johnstone Burgh 0

Edinburgh City 1

Stirling University 0

Elgin City 2

Deveronvale 1

Caledonian Braves 3

Stirling 4

Musselburgh 1

Forfar Athletic 2

TBD -

Partick -

Wick Academy 1

Benburb 2

TBD -

Montrose -

Dunfermline -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Brechin 3

Dundonald Bluebell 1

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Cove Rangers -

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith -

TBD -

Alloa -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 4

Fraserburgh 0

TBD -

Ross County -

Stenhousemuir -

TBD -

Clachnacuddin 2

Sauchie 0

Peterhead -

TBD -

Morton -

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr -

TBD -

Nairn County 1

Turriff United 2

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Bonnyrigg Rose 2

Spartans 2

East Kilbride 1

Tranent FC 3

Dundee North End 0

TBD -

Inverness -

1/32-finals

Rangers -

TBD -

Annan 4

Buckie Thistle 0

Stranraer 2

Clydebank FC 1

Linlithgow Rose 1

Queen's Park 3

Dumbarton 0

Auchinleck Talbot 4

TBD -

Celtic -

Kilmarnock -

TBD -

Dundee FC -

Airdrieonians 4

Hamilton 0

East Fife 0

Arbroath 2

Livingston -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Camelon Juniors 2

Edinburgh City 1

Elgin City 4

Stirling 2

Forfar Athletic 0

Partick 2

Benburb 0

Montrose 3

Dunfermline 2

Queen of the South 1

TBD -

Hibernian -

Kelty Hearts 2

Brechin 0

St Johnstone 1

Cove Rangers 2

Aberdeen -

TBD -

Raith 1

Alloa 0

Motherwell -

TBD -

Banks O' Dee 0

Ross County 2

Stenhousemuir 4

Clachnacuddin 1

Peterhead 2

Morton 3

Hearts -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Ayr 3

Turriff United 0

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

Spartans 2

Tranent FC 1

Inverness 2

1/16-finals

Rangers 5

Annan 0

Stranraer 2

Queen's Park 1

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Celtic 2

Kilmarnock 1

Dundee FC 2

Airdrieonians 4

Arbroath 3

Livingston 1

St. Mirren 2

Camelon Juniors 1

Elgin City 3

Partick 3

Montrose 1

Dunfermline 1

Hibernian 0

Kelty Hearts 2

Cove Rangers 1

Aberdeen 1

Raith 0

Motherwell 1

Ross County 0

Stenhousemuir 4

Morton 0

Hearts 1

Falkirk 2

Ayr 0

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Inverness 0

1/8-finals

Rangers 8

Queen's Park 0

Celtic 2

Dundee FC 1

Airdrieonians 1

St. Mirren 2

Elgin City 2

Partick 3

Dunfermline 2

Kelty Hearts 0

Aberdeen 2

Motherwell 0

Stenhousemuir 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 2

Spartans 1

Quarter-finals

Rangers 0

Celtic 1

St. Mirren 2

Partick 1

Dunfermline 3

Aberdeen 0

Falkirk 2

Dundee Utd 1

Semi-finals

Celtic 6

St. Mirren 2

Dunfermline 1

Falkirk 0

Final

Celtic 3

Dunfermline 1

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Spartans

Scotland

Bonnyrigg Rose

Spartans

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Spartans Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

Spartans

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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