Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling University - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Currie L.
39' Event
Smith J.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Hogarth T.

AI Match Summary

Bonnyrigg Rose in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bonnyrigg Rose
15%
Draws
34%
Stirling University
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg Rose have won more games recently than Stirling University.
  • Bonnyrigg Rose are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bonnyrigg Rose have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 13%
Stirling University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose Stirling University
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling University
6:1
Feb 21, 2026 Lowland League
Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling University
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 Lowland League
Stirling University vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Stirling University
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogarth T.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Currie L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Stirling University Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 75 / 100
Stirling University 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose Stirling University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg Rose scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Stirling University has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Bonnyrigg Rose remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Stirling University
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Stirling University

(Away)
03 Oct
Forres Mechanics
0 : 1
Stirling University
26 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
3 : 2
Stirling University
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Stirling University
1 : 0
Dunipace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)