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Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Hills United

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2025
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AI Match Summary

Bonnyrigg White Eagles play Hills United in the NSW League One 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bonnyrigg White Eagles averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Hills United averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Bonnyrigg White Eagles won 1, Hills United won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 1, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Bonnyrigg White Eagles and 1.18 for Hills United. This points to a Hills United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
16%
Draws
52%
Hills United
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Hills United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg White Eagles picked up more points recently compared to Hills United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles Clean Sheet 20%
Hills United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg White Eagles Hills United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.61

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 NSW League One
Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Hills United
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 NSW League One
Hills United vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
5:4
Jun 7, 2023 NSW League One
Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Hills United
3:1
Jun 18, 2022 NSW League One
Hills United vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonnyrigg White Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hills United Compare

Top Goalscorer Lal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg White Eagles 33 / 100
Hills United 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg White Eagles Hills United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hills United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bonnyrigg White Eagles attacking → ← attacking Hills United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg White Eagles scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hills United let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Bonnyrigg White Eagles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hills United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UNSW30178557:3159
2SD Raiders30184852:3358
3Blacktown Spartans301731052:4554
4Rydalmere Lions30156964:4451
5Newcastle Jets U2330157872:4949
6Northern Tigers301541157:3749
7Inter Lions301361144:3845
8Bulls Academy301110946:4743
9Hills United301151442:4138
10Bankstown City Lions FC301141538:4537
11Hakoah Sydney30981353:6335
12Canterbury Bankstown FC307131036:4434
13Dulwich Hill30941737:6731
14Macarthur Rams30781526:5029
15Bonnyrigg White Eagles30771638:5828
16Mounties Wanderers FC30671730:5225