Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Joao Wesley
48'
48'
Vinicius M.
58'
58'
Eriky
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
35%
13%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bonsucesso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cabofriense haven't matched Bonsucesso's recent run of results.
- Model gives Bonsucesso a 52% chance of winning this.
- Bonsucesso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cabofriense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bonsucesso | Cabofriense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 23, 2026 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 Copa Rio
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Bonsucesso
1:0
Jan 10, 2018 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
0:2
Feb 22, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Cabofriense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bonsucesso Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eriky
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Cabofriense Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Wesley
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bonsucesso 68 / 100
Cabofriense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bonsucesso Cabofriense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bonsucesso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonsucesso scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Cabofriense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Bonsucesso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bonsucesso VS Cabofriense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bonsucesso
(Home) 22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1 Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2 Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1 Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2 America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0 Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2 Madureira
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2 America RJ
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1 Cabofriense
13 Jun
Bonsucesso
0 : 1 Resende
30 May
Bonsucesso
4 : 1 Perolas Negras
Page 1 of 3
Cabofriense
(Away) 04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1 Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2 Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0 Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0 Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1 Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1 Cabofriense
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0 Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1 Cabofriense
10 Jun
America RJ
2 : 1 Cabofriense
23 May
Sao Goncalo
0 : 2 Cabofriense
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira -
Boavista -
Nova Iguacu -
Sampaio Correa FE -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
