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Bonsucesso vs FC Rio de Janeiro

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bonsucesso play FC Rio de Janeiro in the Carioca B2 2024. Bonsucesso are favorites here. Recently, Bonsucesso averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. FC Rio de Janeiro averaged 3 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Bonsucesso won 1, FC Rio de Janeiro won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 28, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Bonsucesso and 1.88 for FC Rio de Janeiro. This points to a Bonsucesso double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bonsucesso
6%
Draws
4%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bonsucesso has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Rio de Janeiro.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Bonsucesso.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Carioca B2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.63 3
Goals Conceded 0.75 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2024 Carioca B2
Bonsucesso vs FC Rio de Janeiro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Tony Love
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Oliveira da Silva P. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 95 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso FC Rio de Janeiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonsucesso scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

FC Rio de Janeiro let in goals in 89% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bonsucesso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Rio de Janeiro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS FC Rio de Janeiro
0.63 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336