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Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Carioca 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Medeiros T.
29'
Matheus Jussa
37'
Michael

AI Match Summary

Tigres Brasil in this Campeonato Carioca 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres Brasil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bonsucesso
35%
Draws
32%
Tigres Brasil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Tigres Brasil haven't matched Bonsucesso's recent run of results.
  • Tigres Brasil are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Carioca 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 15%
Tigres Brasil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Tigres Brasil
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.09 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil
0:0
Feb 18, 2017 Carioca
Tigres Brasil vs Bonsucesso
0:2
Jan 21, 2017 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil
0:2
Apr 16, 2016 Carioca
Bonsucesso vs Tigres Brasil
2:1
Feb 22, 2015 Carioca
Tigres Brasil vs Bonsucesso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonsucesso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Tigres Brasil Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Elias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 19 / 100
Tigres Brasil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Tigres Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tigres Brasil conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bonsucesso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bonsucesso scored in 59% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS Tigres Brasil
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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Tigres Brasil

(Away)
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
03 Jul
Rio Barra
1 : 1
Tigres Brasil
28 Jun
Tigres Brasil
4 : 0
Uniao Central
08 Jun
Ceres
2 : 4
Tigres Brasil
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa RJ 5 3 1 1 5:5 10
2 Nova Iguacu 5 2 2 1 11:7 8
3 Cabofriense 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
4 Campos AA 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
5 Tigres Brasil 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
6 Bonsucesso 5 0 2 3 4:10 2
Relegation - Campeonato Carioca 2017 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Carioca 2017 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Carioca 2017 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Carioca 2017 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Campeonato Carioca 2017 (Taca Guanabara)
Promotion - Campeonato Carioca 2017 (Taca Guanabara)