Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonyhad vs Paks II

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Gulyas M.
83' Event
Bozoki M.
90' Event
Galambos J.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 game between Bonyhad and Paks II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonyhad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bonyhad
30%
Draws
12%
Paks II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonyhad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Paks II's 1.87 goals per match outpaces what Bonyhad have produced (1.13).
  • Bonyhad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bonyhad Clean Sheet 19%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonyhad Paks II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 2 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Bonyhad vs Paks II
2:1
Aug 11, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Bonyhad
5:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Paks II vs Bonyhad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonyhad Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulyas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bozoki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Paks II Compare

Top Goalscorer Galambos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonyhad 85 / 100
Paks II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonyhad Paks II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonyhad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paks II has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Bonyhad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Paks II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paks II
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonyhad

(Home)
02 Aug
Bonyhad
0 : 8
Dunaujvaros
24 May
Pecsi MFC
3 : 2
Bonyhad
18 May
Bonyhad
6 : 0
Dunafoldvar
11 May
Bonyhad
0 : 0
Szekszardi
04 May
Gardony Varosi
1 : 1
Bonyhad
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Paks II

(Away)
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 23 5 2 73:24 74
2 Ivancsa 30 21 5 4 94:26 68
3 Ferencvaros II 30 17 12 1 67:31 63
4 Kaposvar 30 18 8 4 78:33 62
5 Pecsi MFC 30 18 6 6 66:29 60
6 Siofok 30 15 10 5 56:32 55
7 Paks II 30 12 6 12 51:46 42
8 Majosi 30 11 7 12 40:45 40
9 MTK Budapest II 30 11 5 14 58:57 38
10 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 10 8 12 47:45 38
11 Bonyhad 30 10 5 15 38:55 35
12 Szekszardi 30 6 7 17 30:54 25
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 3 21 27:70 21
14 Fonix Gold 30 6 3 21 36:90 21
15 Gardony Varosi 30 5 6 19 34:71 21
16 Dunafoldvar 30 1 4 25 22:109 7
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)