Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bordeaux vs Chauray

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Atlantique, Bordeaux
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Agamah H.
4' Event
Grain J.
33' Event
Grain J.

AI Match Summary

Chauray in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chauray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Bordeaux
20%
Draws
6%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bordeaux lately — more wins on the board than Chauray.
  • Bordeaux are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Chauray
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Chauray
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Bordeaux
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Etonde L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Grain J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agamah H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 95 / 100
Chauray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordeaux scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Bordeaux went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chauray conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Chauray
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux

(Home)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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Chauray

(Away)
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)