Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bordeaux vs Lorient II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Atlantique, Bordeaux
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Grillot J.
63' Event
Fromager C.
70' Event
Mouledous A.

AI Match Summary

Lorient II in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Bordeaux
20%
Draws
19%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bordeaux have won more games recently than Lorient II.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Bordeaux taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Lorient II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Lorient II
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Bordeaux
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Grillot J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shamal S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fromager C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mouledous A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 95 / 100
Lorient II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Lorient II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordeaux scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Lorient II let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bordeaux stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Lorient II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux

(Home)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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Lorient II

(Away)
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Angouleme CFC
3 : 2
Lorient II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)