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Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin Prediction & H2H Stats

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National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Atlantique, Bordeaux
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Openda R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Bordeaux and Stade Poitevin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bordeaux
35%
Draws
15%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Poitevin haven't matched Bordeaux's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Bordeaux taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bordeaux have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 4 11
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.77 0.77
Goals Conceded 1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Bordeaux
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Stade Poitevin vs Bordeaux
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin
1:1
Feb 18, 1998 Coupe de la Ligue
Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stade Poitevin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 95 / 100
Stade Poitevin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Stade Poitevin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bordeaux scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Stade Poitevin has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bordeaux stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Stade Poitevin
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bordeaux

(Home)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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Stade Poitevin

(Away)
16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
18 Apr
Granville
1 : 1
Stade Poitevin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)