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Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin

France France

National 2 - Group A Stade Atlantique
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Openda R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A game between Bordeaux and Stade Poitevin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bordeaux.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bordeaux
6%
Draws
4%
Stade Poitevin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bordeaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Stade Poitevin haven't matched Bordeaux's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bordeaux taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bordeaux have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordeaux Stade Poitevin
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 21 5
Draws 4 11
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National 2 - Group A
Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Bordeaux
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Stade Poitevin vs Bordeaux
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin
1:1
Feb 18, 1998 Coupe de la Ligue
Bordeaux vs Stade Poitevin
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bordeaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Openda R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Stade Poitevin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordeaux 95 / 100
Stade Poitevin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordeaux Stade Poitevin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bordeaux scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bordeaux has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stade Poitevin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bordeaux VS Stade Poitevin
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325