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Bordj Bou Arreridj vs Bejaia

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bordj Bou Arreridj play Bejaia in the Ligue 2 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bordj Bou Arreridj averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Bejaia averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Bordj Bou Arreridj won 3, Bejaia won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 26, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.21 for Bordj Bou Arreridj and 2.08 for Bejaia. This points to a Bejaia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Bordj Bou Arreridj
20%
Draws
48%
Bejaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bejaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bordj Bou Arreridj picked up more points recently compared to Bejaia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.21 vs 2.08 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Bordj Bou Arreridj Clean Sheet 10%
Bejaia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bordj Bou Arreridj Bejaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2022 Ligue 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj vs Bejaia
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 Ligue 2
Bejaia vs Bordj Bou Arreridj
4:1
May 5, 2018 Ligue 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj vs Bejaia
2:0
Dec 1, 2017 Ligue 2
Bejaia vs Bordj Bou Arreridj
1:2
Mar 10, 2017 Ligue 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj vs Bejaia
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bordj Bou Arreridj 31 / 100
Bejaia 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bordj Bou Arreridj Bejaia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bejaia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bordj Bou Arreridj attacking → ← attacking Bejaia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bordj Bou Arreridj scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Bejaia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Bordj Bou Arreridj went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bejaia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 40
1.43 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.29 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Khenchela301910160:2267
2Bordj Menail30197453:2064
3Telaghema301213550:3449
4CA Batna301210835:3346
5Skikda301251328:3141
6Annaba301191030:3441
7Ouargla301251342:3841
8Mlila301171229:3540
9Hamra Annaba301091127:2839
10US Chaouia301161335:3739
11Eulma301081234:3638
12MO Constantine309111030:3138
13MO Bejaia30717639:3138
14Bejaia30991236:3836
15Bordj Bou Arreridj30651935:6423
16Lakhdaria30252318:6911
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1El Bayadh30215447:1168
2CR Temouchent30208234:968
3RC Kouba30185753:2759
4ES Ben Aknoun301451153:3247
5JSM Tiaret301451147:3047
6Harrach301451134:2247
7Saida301110935:2843
8Oued Sly301181132:2841
9Widad Adabi de Boufarik301161337:3839
10GC Mascara301161334:3639
11El Khemis301151430:3238
12ASM Oran301081228:3038
13Ain Ouessara30971426:4134
14USMM Hadjout301021825:4632
15Bel Abbes30651925:5023
16SC Ain Defla30242417:971