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Borea Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Borea Dresden U19 play Erfurt U19 in the DFB Youth League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Borea Dresden U19 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Erfurt U19 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Borea Dresden U19 won 1, Erfurt U19 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Borea Dresden U19 and 1.50 for Erfurt U19. This points to a Borea Dresden U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Borea Dresden U19
21%
Draws
36%
Erfurt U19
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Borea Dresden U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Borea Dresden U19 picked up more points recently compared to Erfurt U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Borea Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Erfurt U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borea Dresden U19 Erfurt U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 DFB Youth League
Erfurt U19 vs Borea Dresden U19
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 DFB Youth League
Borea Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19
0:0
May 14, 2006 Junioren Bundesliga North
Erfurt U19 vs Borea Dresden U19
6:2
Dec 4, 2005 Junioren Bundesliga North
Borea Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19
0:2
May 17, 2005 Junioren Bundesliga North
Borea Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borea Dresden U19 42 / 100
Erfurt U19 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borea Dresden U19 Erfurt U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Borea Dresden U19 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Borea Dresden U19 attacking → ← attacking Erfurt U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borea Dresden U19 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Erfurt U19 let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Borea Dresden U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erfurt U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 20
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63