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Borea Dresden vs Aue II

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Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011
Borea Dresden Logo

Borea Dresden

0 - 2
FT
Aue II Logo

Aue II

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aue II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aue II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Borea Dresden
25%
Draws
53%
Aue II
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Aue II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aue II lately — more wins on the board than Borea Dresden.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Borea Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Aue II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borea Dresden Aue II
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 0 11
Draws 1 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 0.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 3 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Aue II
0:0
Aug 21, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Borea Dresden
4:0
Mar 13, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Aue II
0:2
Sep 18, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Borea Dresden
0:1
May 9, 2010 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Borea Dresden vs Aue II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borea Dresden 29 / 100
Aue II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borea Dresden Aue II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borea Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aue II has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Aue II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Borea Dresden's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Borea Dresden VS Aue II
0 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Borea Dresden

(Home)
06 Jul
Bischofswerdaer
4 : 0
Borea Dresden
27 Aug
Borea Dresden
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
21 Aug
Aue II
4 : 0
Borea Dresden

Aue II

(Away)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 30 22 6 2 69:22 72
2 Auerbach 30 17 6 7 63:39 57
3 Bautzen 30 15 7 8 44:30 52
4 Erfurt II 30 12 12 6 48:39 48
5 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 48:45 41
6 Luckenwalde 30 11 8 11 53:55 41
7 Aue II 30 12 5 13 43:47 41
8 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 9 12 9 42:43 39
9 Zwickau 30 10 7 13 39:39 37
10 Sachsen Leipzig 30 9 9 12 33:43 36
11 Chemnitzer II 30 8 10 12 45:50 34
12 Gotha 30 10 4 16 40:55 34
13 Jena II 30 8 9 13 42:47 33
14 Halle 30 8 9 13 34:47 33
15 Borea Dresden 30 7 11 12 33:47 32
16 Magdeburg II 30 6 8 16 37:65 26
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2010/2011 (Main)