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Borgaro vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Bove G.
50' Event
Ouattara A.
62' Event
Andretta M.

AI Match Summary

Borgaro in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borgaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Borgaro
15%
Draws
46%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Chieri average 0.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Borgaro's 0.83.
  • Win probability leans AC Chieri's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 16%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro AC Chieri
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Borgaro
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs AC Chieri
2:1
Jan 27, 2019 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Borgaro
0:1
Oct 7, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs AC Chieri
1:3
Jan 13, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs AC Chieri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Bove G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andretta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouattara A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 15 / 100
AC Chieri 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Borgaro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

AC Chieri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Borgaro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Borgaro VS AC Chieri
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)