Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borgaro vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Zani A.
9' Event
Danovaro F.
63' Event
Miracoli L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Borgaro and Ligorna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Borgaro
15%
Draws
46%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ligorna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ligorna have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 19%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro Ligorna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.83 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Ligorna
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Borgaro
2:1
Feb 10, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Ligorna
0:1
Oct 21, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Borgaro
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Zani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Danovaro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 16 / 100
Ligorna 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Borgaro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Ligorna has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Borgaro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ligorna
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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Ligorna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)