Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Borgaro vs Vogherese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ferram J.
66'
Marcone C.
69' Event
Monza E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Borgaro and Vogherese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borgaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Borgaro
15%
Draws
0%
Vogherese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vogherese haven't matched Borgaro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Borgaro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 20%
Vogherese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro Vogherese
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 3
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 0.83 0.74
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Vogherese
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Vogherese vs Borgaro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferram J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albisetti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Vogherese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 85 / 100
Vogherese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro Vogherese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgaro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vogherese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Vogherese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Borgaro found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vogherese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
Page 1 of 6

Vogherese

(Away)
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1
Vogherese
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6
Caldiero Terme
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4
USD Casatese
02 Apr
Chievo
4 : 1
Vogherese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)