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Borgeby W vs Sundsvall W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Borgeby W play Sundsvall W in the Elitettan Women 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Borgeby W averaged 1.17 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Sundsvall W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Borgeby W won 1, Sundsvall W won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 14, 2021 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Borgeby W and 1.05 for Sundsvall W. This points to a Sundsvall W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Borgeby W
32%
Draws
40%
Sundsvall W
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Sundsvall W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Borgeby W picked up more points recently compared to Sundsvall W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Borgeby W Clean Sheet 22%
Sundsvall W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgeby W Sundsvall W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.13 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2021 Elitettan Women
Borgeby W vs Sundsvall W
3:3
Apr 25, 2021 Elitettan Women
Sundsvall W vs Borgeby W
1:1
Sep 15, 2019 Elitettan Women
Sundsvall W vs Borgeby W
4:1
May 12, 2019 Elitettan Women
Borgeby W vs Sundsvall W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgeby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sundqvist S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karlsson N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sundsvall W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orji E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Winroth L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgeby W 30 / 100
Sundsvall W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgeby W Sundsvall W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sundsvall W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Borgeby W attacking → ← attacking Sundsvall W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgeby W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sundsvall W let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Borgeby W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sundsvall W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Umea W26213281:2166
2Kalmar W26155648:2950
3IF Brommapojkarna W26154752:3549
4IK Uppsala Fotboll W26144852:3446
5Lidkoping W26136744:3245
6Moron W261331044:2942
7Alingsas W26116937:3639
8Jitex W261131230:4136
9Mallbacken W26881039:3732
10Alvsjo W26951231:3632
11Norrkoping W26861231:3730
12Sundsvall W26841422:4228
13Borgeby W26351830:8114
14Bollstanas W26122326:775