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Borgosesia Calcio vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Borgosesia Calcio Logo

Borgosesia Calcio

1 - 0
FT
AC Chieri Logo

AC Chieri

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Colombo G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Borgosesia Calcio in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Borgosesia Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Borgosesia Calcio
30%
Draws
41%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Borgosesia Calcio haven't matched AC Chieri's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Borgosesia Calcio's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio AC Chieri
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.54 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs AC Chieri
1:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:1
Jan 21, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs AC Chieri
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Borgosesia Calcio
0:1
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs AC Chieri
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

AC Chieri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 36 / 100
AC Chieri 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Chieri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Borgosesia Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Borgosesia Calcio scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS AC Chieri
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0
AC Chieri
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)