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Borgosesia Calcio vs Alessandria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Alfiero V.
40' Event
Cirio E.
65' Event
Kharroubi R.

AI Match Summary

Alessandria in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alessandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Borgosesia Calcio
15%
Draws
57%
Alessandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alessandria lately — more wins on the board than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • Alessandria are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 14%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgosesia Calcio Alessandria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Alessandria
1:3
Aug 1, 2019 Club Friendly
Alessandria vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alessandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfiero V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cirio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgosesia Calcio 19 / 100
Alessandria 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgosesia Calcio Alessandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Alessandria let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Borgosesia Calcio scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Borgosesia Calcio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Borgosesia Calcio VS Alessandria
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgosesia Calcio

(Home)
01 Nov
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 3
Alessandria
25 Oct
Asti Calcio
0 : 3
Borgosesia Calcio
18 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
4 : 2
Imperia Calcio
11 Oct
Millesimo
3 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

Alessandria

(Away)
01 Nov
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 3
Alessandria
25 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
AS Biellese
18 Oct
GSD Lascaris
1 : 2
Alessandria
11 Oct
Alessandria
2 : 0
Fezzanese
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)